東京大学社会科学研究所

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Early-Life Circumstances and Adult Locus of Control: Evidence from 46 Developing Countries
庄司匡宏(社会科学研究所)

日時:11月10日(火)15時~16時40分
※新型コロナウイルス感染への対応から、所内限りでの開催となります。
場所:N/A

報告要旨

Early-life circumstances have a long-term impact on adult outcomes such as health, education, wealth, and happiness. Using exogenous variation in weather conditions across 46 developing countries over time, this study examines the impact of experiencing weather shocks in childhood on adult non-cognitive skills, namely, locus of control. The results show that those who experienced rainfall shortage before age five are more likely to believe that they cannot control their life outcomes. The impact is larger for females from agricultural countries. However, in line with the theoretical prediction, the impact diminishes with age. This study also demonstrates the negative impact of weather shocks on voting behavior. Finally, underlying mechanisms for this relationship are explored.


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